Nếu bạn đã từng là một trader, thì chắc chắn bạn đã từng cháy vài tài khoản, có thể có nhiều lý do, nhưng chủ yếu lý do có thể là bạn không biết quản lý vốn, cụ thể ở đây là liên quan đến khối lượng giao dịch.
- Top sàn forex tốt nhất để giao dịch
- Cách vào lệnh với số vốn 500$
Vậy theo thông thường bạn giao dịch với khối lượng là bao nhiêu? Và bao nhiêu là vừa đủ, là phù hợp với cách giao dịch của bạn, nhiều người đã đánh tối đa số lot có thể để mong bắt được ăn đậm, hoặc giả sử như có tin tức hay vì lí do nào đó, trade với lot lớn đó của bạn chạm dừng lỗ của bạn, bạn sẽ suy nghĩ như thế nào?
Quan điểm về khối lượng giao dịch của trader chuyên nghiệp
Đối với các nhà giao dịch chuyên nghiệp biết rằng xác định khối lượng vào lệnh là rất quan trọng để thành công trong thị trường này. Và trong quá trình giao dịch trên thực tế, nó thường là ranh giới xác định giữa sự thành công và thất bại trên thị trường, đối với những nhà đầu tư Forex chuyên nghiệp họ rất nghiêm ngặt để xác định khối lượng và thường sử dụng mô hình phân số cố định, mô hình tỷ lệ rủi ro cố định hoặc tính toán khối lượng giao dịch cố định trên số dư tài khoản Forex của họ rất nghiêm ngặt.
Quan trọng hơn hết là họ có một chiến lược xác định khối lượng chi tiết sẽ cho họ biết chính xác họ sẽ phân bổ bao nhiêu lot hoặc hợp đồng trong một giao dịch, hoàn toàn không có phỏng đoán, hoặc cảm xúc tham gia trong quá trình này, đó là cách các trader forex chuyên nghiệp sử dụng, họ hoàn toàn biết một giao dịch họ sẽ phải thua lỗ bao nhiêu và có khả năng sinh lời bao nhiêu trên thị trường ngoại hối.
Lấy ví dụ như một nhà giao dịch chuyên nghiệp, dựa trên kế hoạch giao dịch của anh ta, có thể phân bổ 5% vốn cho bất kỳ giao dịch nào, và đây sẽ được coi là một mô hình phân số cố định 5%. Vì vậy, nếu nhà giao dịch có 10.000$ trong tài khoản, thì rủi ro tối đa cho phép sẽ là 500$. Và nếu nhà giao dịch đã quyết định dựa trên phân tích biểu đồ của họ rằng mức dừng hợp lý nhất là 50 pip từ điểm vào lệnh, thì họ sẽ được phép phân bổ tối đa 1 lot cho giao dịch cụ thể đó.
Đối với đối tượng thứ 2 là các nhà giao dịch mới bắt đầu và nghiệp dư thường phân bổ rủi ro dựa trên cách họ cảm nhận về chuỗi giao dịch gần đây của họ thay vì dựa vào mô hình định khối lượng đã được đề ra trước đó. Thông thường họ có xu hướng giao dịch quá lớn sau một chuỗi lệnh thắng gần đây và nhưng ngay khi họ vào một lệnh với khối lượng lớn hơn thì thị trường lại không đi theo ý họ, từ đó dẫn đến thua lỗ lớn. Những sai lầm của nhà giao dịch nghiệp dư liên quan đến việc xác định khối lượng nên được xử lý nhanh chóng nếu bạn muốn kiếm được lợi nhuận ổn định và bền vững trên thị trường này. Bởi vì một lệnh thua lỗ của họ có thể kéo theo tất cả lợi nhuận của họ tích lũy từ trước có được.
Hệ lụy của không có kiến thức về quản lý vốn
Nếu chúng ta không có phương pháp quản lý vốn hiệu quả, thì hệ lụy xảy ra là vô cùng lớn, ngoài việc mất một đống tiền và tài khoản thâm hụt nặng, bạn còn khó mà quay lại thời điểm vốn ban đầu, bởi vì thua lỗ thì dễ, nhưng kiếm lại được lợi nhuận để quay về lại điểm hòa vốn như ban đầu thì vô cùng khó khăn.
Lấy ví dụ như bạn mở tài khoản giao dịch Forex tại một sàn giao dịch và sử dụng đòn bẩy 400:1 và 1000$ trong tài khoản và tức số lot tối đa giao dịch được là 4 lot. Bạn vừa mất đi 20 pips chạm dừng lỗ tức là đã mất đi tới hơn một nửa tài khoản, tương ứng với mất gần 500$, tài khoản chỉ còn 500$ mà thôi.
Và lúc này công việc của các bạn bây giờ đã khó khăn hơn rất nhiều so với trước, thay vì nếu có tài khoản 2000$ ăn 1000$ là lời 50% tài khoản, nhưng mà để 500$ ăn 500$ thì bạn cần tới nhiều hơn 40 pip lời bởi vì bạn chỉ có thể giao dịch với lot nhỏ hơn, chưa kể nếu tài khoản 500$ mà thua 500$ thì xem như cháy tài khoản, chúc bạn may mắn lần sau.
Hệ lụy thường có hệ thống khi nó kéo theo đó là vấn đề về tâm lý của những trader thất bại, là họ sẽ mất một phần hoặc toàn phần niềm tin vào thị trường và sau đó có thể là sau một lệnh giao dịch thất bại nặng nề này có rất nhiều khả năng bạn bị khớp tâm lý khi vào lệnh như mọi người hay từng nói, từ đó dẫn đến hiệu quả vào lệnh không còn được như lúc tỉnh táo, lúc này cảm xúc lấn át lý trí.
Lợi nhuận hay gánh nặng tâm lý?
Nếu bạn nghĩ rằng tài khoản lớn và đánh lot nhỏ thì lợi nhuận rất dễ kiếm, và sau đó họ có quyền tăng lot lên để tìm kiếm lợi nhuận kép. Tuy nhiên thực tế không hoàn toàn như vậy. Đối với người mới, bạn không nên để rủi ro vượt quá 2% tổng tài khoản. Điều này có nghĩa là nếu có 10.000$ và giữ rủi ro 2% mỗi 1 giao dịch, tức là bạn không bao giờ mất quá 200$ mỗi lệnh, điều này sẽ khiến tài khoản của bạn an toàn hơn bao giờ hết.
Và điều tệ hại hơn là nhiều người nghĩ rằng họ có thể nhanh chóng tăng lot vì vài lệnh thắng nhờ vào may mắn. Đây là một sai lầm lớn, hoàn toàn sai lầm đó các bạn.
Lấy ví dụ lại như ở trên, khối lượng bạn giao dịch là một con dao hai lưỡi, nó có thể giúp bạn kiếm nhiều tiền một cách nhanh chóng nhưng cũng có thể khiến bạn đốt cả tài khoản và thêm cả gánh nặng tâm lý, điều mà các trader mới ít nhiều đã được nếm phải khi mới bước vào thị trường forex, hay thị trường coin.
Và họ có một suy nghĩ ngây thơ rằng nếu khối lượng giao dịch bằng cách tăng lot đó là, sau một lệnh thua, họ tăng lot lên ở lệnh tiếp theo nhằm mục đích lấy lại cả phần lỗ trước đó và phần lãi mới. Điều này còn dẫn tới một sai lầm lớn hơn bởi vì họ không chỉ là một người giao dịch theo cảm tính mà còn vì lệnh vừa thua, họ có thể đốt cả tài khoản. Tiền lấy lại đã không có mà còn mất luôn cả số tiền đang có.
Trước khi nghĩ đến việc tăng lot giao dịch, bạn cần phải học cách giảm khối lượng lot, không tăng lot khi mà lệnh đi ngược lại chiều mong muốn. Nếu bạn không làm được điều này, bạn trở thành một nhà giao dịch cay cú với thị trường, tâm lý lúc nào cũng muốn trả đũa, là sẽ kiếm lại những gì đã mất, nhưng oh no, bạn mất luôn những gì đang có.
Một sự thật cay đắng rằng nếu bạn càng mất nhiều tiền trong tài khoản giao dịch, càng khó để hồi lại số tiền ban đầu, đặc biệt trong giao dịch forex, khối lượng giao dịch là quan trọng. Khối lượng giao dịch của bạn luôn luôn nên được xác định bằng kích thước của tài khoản.
Nhiều chuyên gia trong lĩnh vực giao dịch forex không bao giờ để rủi ro quá 1-3% tài khoản của họ, một vài người trong số họ thậm chí còn nghĩ 3% vẫn là rủi ro quá nhiều. Các bạn hãy nhớ rằng giao dịch forex là một chặng đường dài, không phải một ngày hai ngày là có thể giàu có. Tài khoản lớn hơn, khối lượng giao dịch nhỏ hơn giữ bạn tiếp tục giao dịch cho những ngày tiếp theo. Đó là sự thật của quản lý vốn, đừng tham lam các bạn nhé.
Hãy tập bò trước khi tập chạy.
Chúc các bạn giao dịch thành công!
Nguồn: Kiến thức Forex
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